Here is what it (CV19) comes down to for me
1. 575K died in 2010 swine flu season, was a declared pandemic. we did not shut down the world and crash the economy. an average of 3.9K people died per day during H1N1 pandemic.
2. 170K people die everyday from all causes worldwide. CV 19 death totals so far are .45% of that total and 18% of the impact of H1N1 daily deaths.
3. It is more deadly, somewhere between 15 and 30% mortality rate if you are in high risk group or over 50ish. It is a nasty bug. There are other options to worldwide shutdown. Some Countries are using them with success.
4. The models do not work well for climate change, mad cow disease, foot and mouth disease, they are not curated or calibrated with each seasons infectious diseases… to me they are useless in directing deterministic public policy that destroys freedom and jobs
5. Either this is a con job that ranks among the most evil or simply ignorance on steroids driven by fear and identity politics?
I read a lot and here is what puzzles my logical brain concerning CV19..in these articles.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm
Herein lies the dilemma, or Sophie’s choice, of dealing with COVID-19. A full quarantine will result in the deaths of more elderly and medically ill people because more of them will become infected. A partial quarantine would likely result in a greater number of mild infections in young and healthy individuals upfront (but not total).
How many more elderly or medically ill people will die due to a full quarantine? It is hard to say, but a conservative estimate would be 5-10 times the number of young and healthy people who may die from a partial quarantine, based on fatality rates published by the CDC.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/15844/coronavirus-china-cover-up
https://dailycaller.com/2020/04/04/lost-credibility-who-mounting-backlash-china-coronavirus/
John Hargrove Seeking Truth and Reality 