Category: COVID19
A WUHAN Flu CCP Story
Japan and CV19 Wuhan CCP Flu
Interesting that this is not covered more widely
Hope, Reason, Faith in a time of Crisis
Keep in mind on any threat
–God has our back no matter what-the exit from this life is death no matter when it happens-be depending on Jesus for your correct exit strategy
-the country survived the 1918, 1957, 2009, and 2017 flu pandemics
– the models are being adjusted downward each day or week as real data comes in, the models were 100% wrong and created bad general public policy decisions based on fear. we were going to have millions dead in the USA even with social lockdowns, now the ‘models’ predict less than 60,000 may die by early fall. That is a bad flu season that never gets much news coverage.
– the CV19 is bad if you get sick from it in some cases. Most people do not get sick after exposure. Most do not even know they have been exposed. if you are over 55, take extra precautions.
-we are better connected exponentially than ever before, there is a -nobel prize race occurring globally to develop vaccines and therapy/antidotes. Those who are at risk and get critically sick are being treated successfully in many cases.
–We are resilient, ignore fear, pray, wash your hands, if you feel sick call a doctor. Be calm and continue. Fear leads always to bad decisions.
1918 pandemic
Covid 19 and Misery
We believe that our healthcare delivery system in the United States is quite extraordinary. I know many of you are watching the Act Now model and the IHME model from — and they have consistently decreased the number, the mortality from over almost 90,000 or 86,000, down to 81,000 and now down to 61,000. That is modeled on what America is doing. That’s what’s happening.
It just so happens that 61,000 is exactly the number of deaths that the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention attributes to the 2017-2018 flu season. As much time as media folk spend on the differences between coronavirus and the flu, perhaps they should also spend some time discussing similarities.
Now government needs to get out of the way and let the American people protect those vulnerable to the virus—as well as the surging population of people who are vulnerable to government-created poverty. The Journal’s Sarah Chaney and David Harrison report:
A record 7.5 million Americans were receiving unemployment benefits at the end of March as the coronavirus pandemic continued to hit the U.S. labor market.
The Labor Department reported Thursday that another 6.6 million had submitted claims in the week ended April 4 after reaching a record 6.9 million revised figure from a week earlier. Claims were hovering at just over 200,000 a week before the coronavirus-related shutdowns put millions of people out of work in mid-March.
Notes on Covid 19
Here is what it (CV19) comes down to for me
1. 575K died in 2010 swine flu season, was a declared pandemic. we did not shut down the world and crash the economy. an average of 3.9K people died per day during H1N1 pandemic.
2. 170K people die everyday from all causes worldwide. CV 19 death totals so far are .45% of that total and 18% of the impact of H1N1 daily deaths.
3. It is more deadly, somewhere between 15 and 30% mortality rate if you are in high risk group or over 50ish. It is a nasty bug. There are other options to worldwide shutdown. Some Countries are using them with success.
4. The models do not work well for climate change, mad cow disease, foot and mouth disease, they are not curated or calibrated with each seasons infectious diseases… to me they are useless in directing deterministic public policy that destroys freedom and jobs
5. Either this is a con job that ranks among the most evil or simply ignorance on steroids driven by fear and identity politics?
I read a lot and here is what puzzles my logical brain concerning CV19..in these articles.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm
Herein lies the dilemma, or Sophie’s choice, of dealing with COVID-19. A full quarantine will result in the deaths of more elderly and medically ill people because more of them will become infected. A partial quarantine would likely result in a greater number of mild infections in young and healthy individuals upfront (but not total).
How many more elderly or medically ill people will die due to a full quarantine? It is hard to say, but a conservative estimate would be 5-10 times the number of young and healthy people who may die from a partial quarantine, based on fatality rates published by the CDC.
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/15844/coronavirus-china-cover-up
https://dailycaller.com/2020/04/04/lost-credibility-who-mounting-backlash-china-coronavirus/
John Hargrove Seeking Truth and Reality 